Today was a textbook example of level-to-level trading. The 6932 point of control (POC) functioned perfectly as a pivot. By identifying that buyers held control above this level, the rotation to the value area high (VAH) provided a high-probability long setup.
Here’s the thesis posted yesterday: Daily Plan 1.22.26
Economic data provided a bullish tailwind early on:
GDP: Came in significantly higher than expectations.
PCE: Came in lower, easing immediate inflation concerns.
Despite the strong data, the psychological 7000 level remains elusive. The market reached the long target (VAH) but failed to find the follow-through required to break into the next century mark, instead reverting to the POC.
After a very active session, I want to cover all the stocks posted yesterday. Many setups were sent out over on X so I want to make sure nobody missed them. Starting next week I will be providing deep dives into the stocks posted. All of this will be found inside the daily letter. Make sure to show some love on these posts so I know you want more in the future.
Here’s links to all the charts posted yesterday:
ADUR - Potential Dip into Key Support
ASTS - Microstructure Breakout
Now we will shift our focus to today’s levels on the S&P. Same thesis so I will be unlocking this post to be free for all.
Today’s Game Plan
The structural levels remain unchanged for the upcoming session as the market continues to trade within a balanced range.
Left the arrows from the previous session just to show how they have played out. Long thesis remains valid.
Key Levels to Watch
Value Area High (VAH): 6968
Point of Control (POC): 6932
High Volume Node (HVN): 6889
Value Area Low (VAL): 6854
Scenario A: Bullish Continuity If price holds above 6932, the primary objective is a retest of 6968. The wildcard for a breakout toward 7000 is the geopolitical situation. Monitor news cycles regarding NATO deal progress; a confirmed agreement is the most likely catalyst to break the current balance to the upside.
Scenario B: Bearish Shift While 6932 is the pivot, we are allowing for some “noise” around this level. The hard trigger for a bearish outlook is a break below 6920. If this level fails, expect a rapid move lower to test the high volume node at 6889.
Have a great session and weekend everyone!
Disclaimer
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